Go to main contentsGo to search barGo to main menu
Friday, July 18, 2025 at 8:38 AM
martinson

Biden faces trouble in reelection effort

“We’ve got trouble.” “Right here in River City.” “Trouble with a capital T.” “And that rhymes with B.” “And that stands for Biden.” With apologies to Meredith Wilson of Music Man fame, substitute White House for River City and you have a poignant description of the trouble the sitting president is having trying to nail down four more years. In Michigan the Donald, for the first time in years, has an eight-point lead which is well beyond the margin of error and about the only good thing the Biden camp can profess is that the election is not happening right now.

“We’ve got trouble.”

“Right here in River City.” “Trouble with a capital T.” “And that rhymes with B.” “And that stands for Biden.” With apologies to Meredith Wilson of Music Man fame, substitute White House for River City and you have a poignant description of the trouble the sitting president is having trying to nail down four more years.

In Michigan the Donald, for the first time in years, has an eight-point lead which is well beyond the margin of error and about the only good thing the Biden camp can profess is that the election is not happening right now.

The bearer of all this bad news you are about to digest is the veteran Michigan pollster Richard Czuba working on behalf of WDIV-TV and the Detroit News.

The eight-point lead for Mr. Trump is bad enough for the Democrats but wait, the other numbers are even worse.

In Michigan about 20% of the voters are Independents. They vote the person and not the party and without a good chunk of their support, candidates are pretty much toast. Mr. Biden has 7% of that vote which would meet the definition of toast.

Mr. Czuba confesses that figure is so low that he double checked it to make sure it was spot on. It was.

Mr. Biden needs to hold his strong Democratic base of voters who are solid no matter what which is similar to the 32% that Mr. Trump enjoys in this state.

But only 41% of those strong D’s are with the president while 46% are not and a lot of those folks are under the age of 40, “and he needs those votes to win,” reflects the pollster who was shocked by those numbers as well.

And just to put a ribbon on this ugly data for POTUS, there are enough voters supporting third party candidates, such as Jill Stein, to cost Mr. Biden the election. None of the free lance candidates, who have zippo chance to win, will not get any votes from Mr. Trump’s strong hold, so every 1% of the vote that goes for third parties, is 1% fewer votes for Mr. Biden.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is mucho concerned about this as she recalls the 2016 Hillary Clinton campaign in this state. Ms. Stein got about three percent and Ms. Clinton lost to Donald Trump. The governor is hoping against hope history does not repeat itself.

Mr. Trump has his own Michigan woes.

Sixty-two% of the voters do not believe he deserves another residency in the White House and if convicted for any number of alleged criminal offenses, undecided voters and some Trumpers could reject him based on that thus handing the win to Mr. Biden.

But the age and mental competency things continues to bird dog the president with 41% concerned about both.

The governor concedes this is a problem even though she reports she has seen the president in action and he is still on his game although “he is a little slower and a little stiffer.” Problem is the typical voter has not been privy to that up close and personal image and the GOP ads showing the president stumbling will reinforce those voter concerns.

Meanwhile back in River City err the White House at least they can say that polling is only a frozen moment in time and lots can happen between now and November.

It’s not much, but it’s about the best they have at this read.


Share
Rate

ventureproperties

Sign up for our free newsletter:

* indicates required
Support
e-Edition
silversource
enterprise printing